Guangzhou Institute: Make solid preparations for the listing of polysilicon futures and options to ensure the smooth launch and steady operation of polysilicon futures and options. With the rapid development of polysilicon industry, the relationship between supply and demand changes rapidly and the price fluctuates greatly due to various factors such as industrial policy, production cycle and technological progress. Due to the lack of objective and continuous price signals, the polysilicon industry has concentrated capacity investment and construction, which is prone to problems such as staged supply and demand mismatch, which is not conducive to the healthy and stable development of the industry. In this context, photovoltaic industry chain enterprises have increasingly strong demands for listed polysilicon futures, pricing with futures tools and managing risks. At the same time, the listed polysilicon futures will help to export the international pricing benchmark, form the "China" price of polysilicon international trade reflecting China's industrial volume, and gradually enhance China's influence in polysilicon international trade pricing. The insiders believe that at present, the industrial silicon varieties in Guangzhou have been running smoothly for nearly two years, and the listing of polysilicon varieties will further improve the variety layout of the crystalline silicon industrial chain for futures services, and provide more accurate futures tools for polysilicon and its downstream photovoltaic industrial chain, which is conducive to further consolidating the global competitive advantage of China's photovoltaic and other industries. The relevant person in charge of the Guangzhou Stock Exchange said that in the next step, under the guidance of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the Guangzhou Stock Exchange will make solid preparations for the listing of polysilicon futures and options to ensure the smooth launch and steady operation of polysilicon futures and options. (Guangzhou Institute)BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Market News: Russian President Vladimir Putin will extend the ban on the sale of petroleum and petroleum products against the crude oil price ceiling until June 30, 2025.
USGS: An earthquake of magnitude 5.1 occurred in Izu Islands, Japan.BYD Lian Yubo: It is estimated that BYD will sell 4.25 million vehicles in the whole year. On December 13th, BYD's chief scientist Lian Yubo said: "Up to now, BYD has sold more than 10 million new energy vehicles. By the end of this month, we can probably achieve the annual sales of 4.25 million vehicles. " He also mentioned: "There are still some challenges in industrial development. For example, the overall anti-risk ability of our industrial chain needs to be improved, and there are still breakthroughs in chips, operating technologies, industrial software and nuclear materials. We still need to strengthen research and achieve complete autonomy and controllability."Boeing: The 787 Dreamliner project plans to increase production to 10 aircraft per month by 2026.
The self-built valuation model of bank wealth managers has met with "standardization": some institutions have re-adopted the strategy of excess return of the bank's tier-2 capital bonds with the valuation system of China Securities and China Securities, and recently, the regulatory authorities issued a document to the bank wealth management subsidiary, demanding that the self-built valuation model should not be used to smooth the net value fluctuation, and the valuation standards provided by third parties such as China Securities and China Securities should be adopted, and self-inspection and rectification should be carried out. The purpose of this move is to prevent the bank's wealth management subsidiaries from adjusting product income through self-built models, and to carry out "fund pool" business in disguise to ensure market fairness. At present, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have received this document, and have begun to adjust the net value calculation methods of day-opening and closed wealth management products, and re-adopt third-party valuation for investment products such as bank tier 2 capital bonds. A person from a bank financing subsidiary told reporters that he heard that the financial supervision department held a small-scale meeting last week, asking the bank financing subsidiary to respect the new asset management rules and not to violate accounting standards. In addition, the relevant departments also require the financial subsidiaries of banks that have used the self-built valuation model to carry out rectification, and the financial subsidiaries that have been notified shall submit corresponding rectification plans and measures reports within one month. In the view of the above-mentioned bank wealth managers, it is not excluded that some bank wealth management subsidiaries have lowered the allocation ratio of bank tier-2 capital bonds due to the influence of regulatory policies, because when the self-built valuation model is "standardized", the strategy of over-allocating bank tier-2 capital bonds to obtain excess returns becomes increasingly difficult when the net product value fluctuates relatively smoothly. (per meridian)The US dollar index rose on the 12th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.23% that day and closed at 106.957 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0473 US dollars, lower than 1.0492 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2670, down from $1.2745 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.54 yen, down from 152.65 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8914 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8848 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4208 Canadian dollars, higher than 1.4162 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 11.0106, higher than SEK 10.9791 in the previous trading day.White House: Biden's approval of an aid program to Ukraine will provide more air defense systems, etc. On December 12, local time, John Kirby, strategic communication coordinator of the US White House National Security Council, said at the White House briefing that day that US President Biden approved a new Ukrainian security assistance program on the 12 th, which will provide Ukraine with more air defense systems, artillery, drones and armored vehicles. Kirby said that this is the 72nd such material deployment assistance announced by the United States, and the United States will continue to provide additional aid packages until the end of the current government.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14